MID ATLANTIC NY PA NJ DE MD DC MID ATLANTIC NY PA NJ DE MD DC

MAR 3 at 12:50pm Thursday's Snow may be the biggest of the season!

Discussion started by robweather 2 years ago

The models continue to hammer home the idea of a major snow event late Wednesday night through the Thursday PM rush hour. We are dealing with the front end of the storm right now but the real snow is on Thursday. The models have been pretty good run after run with a 4"+ at this point with the GFS pushing more than 10" for three runs in a row now. The GFS has been a decent model the last few weeks and may be the model to follow at this point. This was the model that backed off the big snow we were expecting earlier this season. 

THE MODELS SAY GAME ON

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 10.55.59 AM

This is the model run for the Delaware Valley including

South Jersey, Northern Delaware and all of Southeastern PA

The temps drop after 11pm tomorrow night and stay below freezing all day on Thursday. This snow may be the biggest of the season for many esp. Delaware and South Jersey.  The chance of a snow day are on the increase with now a 55% to 75% chance at this point, The area most likely to get a snow day would be Northern Delaware and South Jersey.

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 11.05.03 AM

So this is the early call on the snow. It's highly subject to chance but with the storm within 36-48 hours we are starting to get into the more accurate range of the models. The Baltimore/DC area may be the jackpot for snow of the models and track stay as they are this afternoon.

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 11.14.05 AM

The Delaware and Lehigh Valley may be just north of the heaviest snow but will still see a major snowstorm at this point.  a general 3-6" or 4-8" can be expected at this point however this could trend up in the next 24 hours.

Screen Shot 2015-03-03 at 11.35.42 AM

 

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ajb
ajb
Thanks SnowKat, much appreciated...
2 years ago
robweather
robweather
We just updated
2 years ago
terreri31
terreri31
anyone have any updates? I want to keep patronizing this site but its getting harder and harder
2 years ago
DownTown
DownTown
@sm61- I've seen it too... There was some sort of fiasco a month or so ago, and I think a lot of the members here have gone to facebook. I don't do facebook, and I still think that Robs forecasts are the most accurate, and he always makes sure he gives each region the low down on what he thinks will happen for them. That's important for me being down near Atlantic City... There is no other source of informed interpretation for where I live.

Thanks, Rob, for continuing to maintain this site.
2 years ago
ajb
ajb
Rob,
I know Philadelphia dodged a lot of bullets this season. That being said what is their snow total so far? On another note is there any site I can go to where I can find a breakdown of snowfall totals per city or county?
2 years ago
REBELG
REBELG
3 to 6 to snow to low rain changes to snow at night 5 to 8 for me.
2 years ago
sm61
sm61
What has happened to this site? Rob posts 10 hours ago with the biggest storm of the season and only one comment. Sad what has happened.
2 years ago
macjeff
macjeff
NWS is being very conservative on this one. They are not sure of the timing of the cold, the amount of moisture, and also the time of year (Sun angle) I agree with your map though
2 years ago
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