1 PM THURSDAY OCT 6TH: HURRICANE MATTHEW TO SLAM THE FLORIDA COAST

Discussion started by JarydMore17 10 months ago

So here we go folks! We have been talking about this threat to the east coast of Florida for almost a week now. 

HURRICANE MATTHEW COULD MAKE LANDFALL NEAR MELBOURNE OR CAPE CANAVERAL BY 8 AM TOMORROW, BUT WILL STILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE ENTIRE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA BEGINNING TONIGHT. WE ARE EXPECTING THIS TO BE A CAT 4 AS HE RIDES UP THE COAST. 

 

Hurricane MATTHEW CURRENTLY


As of 12:00 UTC Oct 06, 2016:

Location: 24.6°N 77.4°W
Maximum Winds: 115 kt  Gusts: 140 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 940 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 270 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 10 NM
Eye Diameter: 15 NM

 

BRAND NEW TRACK FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM: PLEASE LOOK AT THIS GRAPHIC BELOW AS IT IS VERY LIKELY THAT THIS WINDS UP BEING THE EXACT TRACK MATTHEW TAKES. IF YOU LIVE ANYWHERE IN THE WHITE, PLEASE TAKE THE FINAL STEPS TO ENSURE SAFETY FOR YOU, YOUR FAMILY, AND PROPERTY. THIS IS NOT SOMETHING TO TAKE LIGHTLY BY ANY STRETCH OF THE IMAGINATION. 

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

THE MAJOR THREAT FOR COASTAL AREAS WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL STORM SURGE, FLOODING RAINS, AND DAMAGING WINDS! HERE IS THE PROBABLITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND, HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. AND EXPECTED RAINFALL IN THAT ORDER.

[Image of probabilities of 34-kt winds]

[Image of probabilities of 64-kt winds]

[Image of WPC QPF U.S. rainfall potential]

 

Storm Surge Inundation Forecast

 

WHAT TO EXPECT:

DELRAY, WEST PALM BEACH, JUPITER, PORT ST LUCIE, FL:

TOTAL RAINFALL:  5 TO 11" (MAJOR FLOODING)

WINDS/GUSTS:  50 TO 60 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 105 MPH

STORM SURGE: 3 TO 7 FEET

POWER LOSS PERCENTAGE: 90%

WORST WILL BE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY

 

VERO, PALM BAY, MELBOURNE, COCOA BEACH, FL:

TOTAL RAINFALL:  8 TO 14" (MAJOR FLOODING)

WINDS/GUSTS:  55 TO 65 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 115 MPH

STORM SURGE: 7 TO 10 FEET

POWER LOSS PERCENTAGE: 95%

WORST WILL BE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON

 

DAYTONA BEACH, PALM COAST, ST. AUGUSTINE, JACKSONVILLE, FL:

TOTAL RAINFALL:  9 TO 15" (MAJOR FLOODING)

WINDS/GUSTS:  50 TO 55 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH

STORM SURGE: 7 TO 10 FEET

POWER LOSS PERCENTAGE: 95%

WORST WILL BE FRIDAY AM TO FRIDAY EVENING

 

SAVANNAH, HILTON HEAD, CHARLESTON, MYRTLE BEACH, SC:

TOTAL RAINFALL:  12 TO 21" (EXTREME FLOODING)

WINDS/GUSTS:  30 TO 40 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH

STORM SURGE: 5 TO 8 FEET

POWER LOSS PERCENTAGE: 70%

WORST WILL BE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON

 

BALD HEAD ISLAND, WILMINGTON, NC

TOTAL RAINFALL:  10 TO 15" (EXTREME FLOODING)

WINDS/GUSTS:  20 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH

STORM SURGE: 3 TO 5 FEET

POWER LOSS PERCENTAGE: 45%

 WORST WILL BE SAT AM TO SUN AM

 

WE MUST ALSO KEEP IN MIND THAT MODELS DO TAKE THIS STORM OFF THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF NORTH CAROLINA AND BEGINS A LOOP BACK TOWARDS FLORIDA. WE WILL MONITOR THAT IDEA AS WE GET THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS HERE IN FLORIDA, GEORGIA, AND SOUTH CAROLINA. 

MATTHEW MODELS

 

REMEMBER TO STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND FOLLOW ALL DIRECTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. STAY SAFE AND GOOD LUCK GUYS!

 

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