We have been watching weather models and this grueling pattern change process continue for 2 weeks now. We have seen 2 important changes. The first being that the pattern has become much more active. We are beginning to see weather systems moving through the east with more frequency. We have also seen the temperatures trend down closer to average for this time of year. It seems that what is happening is that the upper atmosphere is doing a slow grind southward as far as colder air is concerned. As each moves along it seems to be pulling the jet stream further south. There is still a lot more work to do. We also need to remember that the average highs this time of year (end of November early December) are still in the upper 40s and lows in the lower 30s. We need to see where we are a month from now when average highs and lows drop another 10 degrees.
With regards to temperatures one of the bigger changes that is occuring is that Canada is finally cooling down especially in the Western half. Both the Canadian and GFS model show this out through day 10. This is a change from the pattern we saw in October and for the first half of November when all of Canada was in a blow torch. With regards to weather systems moving along the European seems to be gearing up for another system to come out of the west...READ MORE AT http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2016/11/28/weather-models-european-gfs-long-range/