NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT

JOESTRADAMUS: SNOW THREATS GOING FORWARD & WEATHER MODELS (DECEMBER 7, 2016)

Discussion started by Joe Cioffi 5 months ago

Snow Threats Going Forward


Earlier today JOESTRADAMUS and ANGRY BEN talked about the cold air that is coming in the long range. That seems to be what all the models agree on at this point. What they don't agree on is what if any snow threats are lying ahead and how all of this plays out. We have seen 3 minor events effect inland areas over the last 2 weeks. It has been my experience that weather systems in winters while not exact tend to rhyme to some degree. I would not necessarily conclude from those first 3 minor events that the winter will continue this way. It is not unusual to see early season events effect inland areas more than the coast. This has happened early in prior winters only to see storm tracks shift southward as we get deeper into the winter months. With all that said lets see what like ahead of us.


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The GFS late this afternoon and the Canadian model run from earlier are not that far off. Both show a weakening low heading into the Great Lakes with a wave on the southern end of a cold front. Now if the GFS is correct there would be a warm front to the south and an area of snow ahead of it. The GFS generates a coating to a inch or so from this. Then both models take a wave on the cold front to the south and move it northeast for another round of precipitation. The GFS keeps the wave weak while the Canadian has a stronger low with significant snow from it for early next week....READ MORE AT http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2016/12/07/snow-threats-going-forward/

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