Pieces of Winter Before Christmas…Nor'easter Watch Dec 29-31

Discussion started by robweather 7 months ago

Ahhh Christmas is near and the big qestion now is will we have a White Christmas? At this point most likely not but we do have a series of winter events crossing the area to get you in the spirit the next 7 days.

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ARCTIC BLAST...SLIPPERY RUSH HOUR

We are tracking a very strong Arctic Front overnight tonight with some snow showers and flurries after midnight but before daybreak for the most part. The Delaware Valley could see anywhere from a dusting to even a few 1/2" measurements overnight. The real change will be it will feel like WINTER tomorrow and into Friday night. Be prepared to maybe scrap a thin layer of ice off your car come tomorrow morning in a few places.

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FRIDAY NIGHT SNOW

The models and the track of the current storm indicates that we'll see snow Friady night into early Saturday before changing to rain. The early call from Liveweatherblogs.com and The Weather Pros is 2-3" of snow across the area with a 100% stick factor...yeah it will stick to everything at night. 

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SATURDAY SLOP...SUNDAY WARMTH

Any snow near daybreak quickly goes to rain from south to north with .25" to .50" of rain in the morning to about early afternoon on Saturday. Those rain showers linger around Saturday night and Sunday.

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SUNDAY NIGHT TRAILER OF COLD

The models were a bit gung-ho yesterday on making Sunday night a rain showers to snow event but have backed off a bit today. Some cold air (low 20's) gets in Sunday night but is the moisture all gone at this point? Most of the time it is but on occasion the front stalls and allows a wave of light moistiure to roll up the coast. We'll be watching this for a 0-1" back end snow but the odds are lower today for that to happen.

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NOR'EASTER WATCH DEC 29-31

I like to sniff out the pattern a few weeks ahead and the first indicator is to get the NAO an AO on the right page to move the storms from the Midwest to the East on the snowier side of the storm. I see this happpening near the end of the year but not sold just yet. The GFS came in with the idea today and the European model may follow. For now I like that period for the potential first 4"+ storm of the season from Washington DC to NYC including Philly and the burbs. 

Screen Shot 2016 12 14 at 10.56.23 AM

 

      DO YOU PLOW SNOW?

 

WANNA GET OUT CUSTOM TEXT SERVICE FREE

FOR ONE WEEK TO TRY US OUT DURING THE SNOW?

 

    WWW.THEWEATHERPROS.COM

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