The question mark (?) here is important. There is always that sort of nagging feeling that models will change their outlook along the way. What has been rather remarkable here is that for the last 4 plus days weather models have been signalling a change to a colder pattern beginning in about 8 days. They have not waivered at all and it seems like we are going to see a switch to a colder (and POSSIBLY) a more stormy pattern for the very end of January and the start of February. What I am not sure of at this point is whether this is something that lasts a short time (a week or so) or is this something that will carry us through much of February and into March. NO ONE KNOWS THE ANSWER TO THAT QUESTION AT THIS POINT. I can say the signs seem to suggest this will hang a round for awhile. However the winter so far has been marked by volatility so if it winds up being a short flip, don't be shocked.
I'm bypassing the work week and jumping right to next Saturday because here is where the seeds of the pattern change really begin to produce fruit. There are two important developments...READ MORE AT http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/01/14/snow-cold-long-range/