The map above is my forecast that I issued earlier and I emphasized in an earlier post that the uncertainty was large and the bust factor was huge in both directions. Take a look at the disparity late this afternoon between the RGEM model and the NAM model.
This is shaping up as the biggest battle yet between the American models and the Canadian/European models. The difference for our area between the two is astounding. It literally says to cover in a forecast for a coating to a foot! What are models struggling with? Well it is the somewhat odd yet dynamic nature of the storm system itself....read more at http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/03/17/snow-weekend-weather-models-conflict-huge/