As we draw closer to Sunday's event there is still some confusion among models in terms of the structure of this storm and how it is all going to evolve. To add more confusion to the mix and Air Force Plane is enroute to investigate low pressure developing in the Northwest Caribbean which has shown an increase in organization today. In spite of all this the European model remains steadfast it its view of Sunday and Sunday night's major storm forecast to develop off the Southeast coast of the US and then head straight northward just inland of the coast into upstate NY as a major storm.
The low tracks from southeast of Charleston South Carolina at 8am to near or just west of Cape May New Jersey by Sunday evening 8pm. From there it runs northward to just east of Lake Ontario near my favorite fishing spot Pulaski NY.
The European refuses to let go of the very strong upper air structure of this system where the upper trough lifts completely up and around forcing the surface storm to intensify rapidly....READ MORE AT http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/10/27/european-model-paints-stormy-scenario-major-storm/