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mustufa1

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mustufa1

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Member since
Monday, 24 November 2014 18:12
Last online
9 months ago
Profile Type
Regular Account
  • John Manetta is friends with mustufa1
  • mustufa1 replied to Winter forecast 16/17
    9 months ago

    But after reaching phase 1, then it goes to COD. So the cold pattern doesn't last long after that. There is no evidence to show that there will be...

  • mustufa1 replied to Winter forecast 16/17
    10 months ago

    Why do you think December will be a cold month? Just because November turns cold does not always mean the following month is colder. Can you explain...

  • mustufa1 replied to WildWeather's 2015-2016 Winter Weather Outlook (Written NOV 13)
    2 years ago

    Why would you say this is an east based el nino. enso 3.4 and 4 are much warmer than enso 1.2. You may want to check that again.

  • mustufa1 replied to November outlook, interesting Thanksgiving period
    2 years ago

    I definitely agree that this is not 97/98. The warmest waters have shifted west going toward the dateline. The forcing near the dateline has been...

  • mustufa1 replied to November outlook, interesting Thanksgiving period
    2 years ago

    When do you expect enso 1.2 to start cooling? Some are saying that the el nino will peak into December. If that happens, does it mean that winter...

  • mustufa1 replied to Snowmaggedon? or Forgettaboutit.....???
    3 years ago

    But I see mixing to rain for my area for northern virginia in Loudoun county where I live. Accuweather says 3-6 but I'm skeptical that the temps are...

  • mustufa1 replied to Snowmaggedon? or Forgettaboutit.....???
    3 years ago

    This storm was definitely does not have cold air because no arctic high in place and as I said this could be mostly rain and not so much snow. But...

  • mustufa1 replied to JAN 19 2:23pm MODEL THREAD 1/19/2015
    3 years ago

    Euro now shows a rainstorm. But I'm not buying it right now because it can dynamically get colder if there is an arctic H to the north or otherwise...

  • mustufa1 replied to JAN 19 2:23pm MODEL THREAD 1/19/2015
    3 years ago

    @Armando And also do you see JB mention that the SOI values crash at -41. He said that is the strongest negative crash since 2009-2010 winter. I...

  • mustufa1 replied to 1/16/15-1/23-15 MODEL THREAD
    3 years ago

    Armando, did you ever check NAVGEM because I saw that it was the first model to catch on that big storm for this weekend and has it much closer to...

  • mustufa1 replied to 1/16/15-1/23-15 MODEL THREAD
    3 years ago

    Once again Charles bashing continues. Keep going Charles because no one will respond. Just like to model hug each run of the GFS.

  • mustufa1 replied to
    3 years ago

    I don't trust any model at this point by the time it's monday. That is when it should become clearer so expect a lot of flip flops going through the...

  • mustufa1 replied to
    3 years ago

    @Armando Ok, I'm hearing two things about the next weekend storm, are we gonna have a 50/50 low or a -NAO. I checked again the NAO index and dips...

  • mustufa1 replied to
    3 years ago

    Yeah so much for the hype about a January "thaw" NOT that lasts for one day above normal. I think DT has busted on his long range about this big...

  • mustufa1 replied to
    3 years ago

    @Armando I saw the NAO index and it was big run towards at least negative from the days before that had it positive NAO. Armando, I think you're...

  • mustufa1 replied to
    3 years ago

    Good morning Armando, I saw the nam and it trended west with a little more precip. Now about the greenland block, I don't think that's going to...

  • mustufa1 replied to
    3 years ago

    @Armando Yes and nam short rage has outperformed the gfs model in terms of precip. gfs has a bias to underestimating qpf while the nam has it wetter...

  • mustufa1 replied to
    3 years ago

    This winter is not over yet. I was not really expecting snow for december anyway so really I was waiting for January for best shot for more snow and...

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